Saturday 10 October · GB · Hurdle · Class 4
3:22 Chepstow
McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
2m3½f · Going: Good To Soft · 9 runners · £4,410
Verdict — our pick: Miss Cynthia
Miss Cynthia is our selection, and she heads the field on our figures at 119, a clear six pounds better than Love Sonnet on 113, which gives her a real edge in a Class 4 over 20 furlongs on good to soft. That margin gives her some leeway at Chepstow, though confidence is only medium. Love Sonnet is the chief danger, with Kosasiempre just a pound behind her and Onefournine also in the mix on 110, so the pack is tightly bunched behind our pick. Miss Cynthia has the best figure in the field and gets the verdict.
Runners & best odds
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1. Onefournine(0)Form: /2201-
J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · 6yo · 12st 0lb · OR 115 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Kalanisi out of Smart Talk (Hubbly Bubbly) · Owner: Martin Tedham Wasdell Properties Ltd
Onefournine won last time out and was second in two of her previous three, so the form is strong, and she has run on today's going before. The one concern is a 179-day absence, so sharpness is the question, especially carrying 168 lb.
2. Miss Cynthia(0)Form: P/710-
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · 6yo · 11st 12lb · OR 113 · trainer 14% (14d)
By Sea The Moon out of Best Friend (Galileo) · Owner: Mrs Lindy Ohare
Miss Cynthia is the one to beat: she won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 119 tops the field of nine. Unplaced last time and 197 days off are the reservations, though 166 lb is a hefty burden.
3. Love Sonnet(0)Form: 2114-
J: David Noonan · T: Tim Vaughan · 4yo · 11st 11lb · OR 114 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Shaman out of Kiss Goodnight (Papal Bull) · Owner: Paul Bowtell Jonathan Shinton
Love Sonnet won two starts back and three starts back, then ran a fourth last time out, so she arrives with solid recent form and has run on today's going before. The main risk is a 238-day layoff, and she also carries 165 lb.
4. Kosasiempre(0)Form: 71431-
J: Charlie Hammond · T: Stuart Edmunds · 8yo · 11st 6lb · OR 107 · trainer 22% (14d)
By Masked Marvel out of Cosavita (Comte Du Bourg) · Owner: Ben Turner Racing Partnership 2
Kosasiempre won last time out and has two wins in her last five starts, with a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 204-day absence, and she carries 160 lb off an official mark of 107.
5. Miss Carbo(0)Form: 57615-
J: Bradley Harris(3) · T: Neil Mulholland · 4yo · 11st 5lb · OR 108 · trainer 8% (14d)
By Bathyrhon out of Cabo Real (Camelot) · Owner: Donald Bell
Hard to fancy after 191 days off, with a fifth last time out and a sixth and a seventh in the previous runs either side of her one win in the last five. She does have a win two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but 159 lb is a big burden.
6. Flash Bardot(0)Form: 3-2
J: Brendan Powell · T: Henrietta C Knight · 6yo · 11st 5lb · OR 106 · trainer 17% (14d)
By Sixties Icon out of Bridie ffrench (Bahamian Bounty) · Owner: Lord Sweeney Humphreys
Flash Bardot arrives in decent order, a second last time out and a third two starts back, though she is winless in her last two starts and carries 159 lb off an official mark of 106. Fresh enough after 19 days, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 110 putting her fifth of nine.
7. Only One Blue(0)Form: 23324-
J: Freddie Mitchell(3) · T: Max Comley · 4yo · 11st 4lb · OR 107 · trainer 40% (14d)
By Blue Point out of Missunited (Golan) · Owner: Charles Noell And Helen Byrd
Only One Blue is consistently in the frame, with a fourth last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, yet she is winless in her last five. A 168-day layoff and 158 lb are the concerns, though our 110 sits above her official 107.
8. Where's Cato(0)Form: 10123-
J: Adam Wedge · T: Mrs C. Williams · 7yo · 11st 0lb · OR 101 · trainer 14% (14d)
By Notnowcato out of Speedy Fairy (Speedmaster) · Owner: W Corrigan Racing
Where's Cato looks hard to fancy after 211 days off, and she is burdened with 154 lb, though a third last time out, a second two starts back and a winner three starts back show she was in good heart before the break. She has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 102 ranks her ninth of nine.
9. Jammy Jay(0)Form: 48-242
J: Charlie Deutsch · T: James Evans · 6yo · 10st 11lb · OR 98 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Poet's Word out of Dreams Allowed (Authorized) · Owner: Martin Jacqueline Jones
Winless in her last five, Jammy Jay is hard to fancy, though she was second last time out and a second three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 151 lb after 36 days off, she is rated 105 by us, eighth of nine.
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