Havant & Waterlooville vs Chippenham Town Betting Tips & Preview

Chippenham Town to win

This replay finds Chippenham Town as the pick to get the job done and set up their next assignment in the FA Cup 1st Round Qualifying Replays. The two sides could not be separated when they met just days earlier, and with little else to split them on paper, the head-to-head record over the years tilts in Chippenham's favour, having already got the better of Havant & Waterlooville once before in a previous era of this fixture. Our model puts Chippenham's chances at 47.2%, making them the most likely outcome even in a game that looks tight on the surface, and that edge in probability is the reason for the selection rather than anything to do with the odds on offer.

Recent Form

Neither club arrives with much recent form to lean on beyond this very tie. Havant & Waterlooville's last completed fixture before this replay was the original meeting with Chippenham Town on 5 September, which finished level, and the outcome of the replay itself on 8 September is not yet known heading into this preview. Chippenham Town's picture is identical in reverse: a draw at home to Havant & Waterlooville on 5 September, followed by this unresolved return fixture. In short, both teams are locked together by the same two results, which makes it hard to separate them purely on recent output and puts extra weight on the finer details of head-to-head history and squad availability.

Head-to-Head

The record between these two clubs over their last two documented meetings reads one win for Chippenham Town and one draw, with Havant & Waterlooville yet to register a win in that span. The draw came in the first leg of this very tie on 5 September, while the win dates back to 10 October 2009, when Chippenham Town won away at Havant & Waterlooville after full time. It is a small sample stretched across a long period, but it does mean Chippenham go into this replay unbeaten in their last two head-to-head meetings, which lends a little extra weight to the case for backing them again here.

Team News

Havant & Waterlooville have one absentee to factor in, with Nathan Carlyle unavailable due to a yellow card suspension that has kept him out since March 2024. Chippenham Town have a longer list of players missing, with Tom Mehew, Freddie Grant and Will Dawes all sidelined through card-related suspensions dating back to between September 2023 and December 2024. On paper that gives Chippenham three absences to Havant's one, though with no fresh injury news or new suspensions reported for either side, neither team looks to be significantly weakened heading into this replay compared with how they lined up in the original tie.