Hull vs Everton Betting Tips & Preview

Everton to win

Everton go to the MKM Stadium as the side better equipped to handle whatever this fixture throws at them, and that's the basis for backing the visitors to win. Our model puts their chances at 43.9%, which isn't an overwhelming figure in isolation, but it's still comfortably the highest single-outcome probability of the three possible results, and that's really the crux of the pick. Hull haven't won any of their last four matches and have shown defensive fragility against sides of genuine Premier League quality, whereas Everton, while far from prolific, have strung together a run without defeat that includes two wins in their last two outings. The price of 2.10 is simply what's on offer for backing that logic through to full time, nothing more.

Recent Form

Hull City's form over their last five fixtures reads as one win, two draws and two defeats, and the shape of those results tells its own story. They beat Coventry City away back in late August, but since then they've drawn with Aston Villa and Chelsea either side of back-to-back defeats to Sunderland and Newcastle United. That's a side that has struggled to find consistency, losing twice in their last three completed matches and failing to win in their last four.

Everton's recent sequence looks sturdier on paper. Three draws on the spin against Bournemouth, Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur suggest a team that has been hard to break down without necessarily finding a cutting edge, but they've since turned that into results, beating Wolverhampton Wanderers and then Ipswich Town in their last two outings. Five games unbeaten, with the manner of the last two results suggesting growing confidence going forward, puts Everton in a healthier run of form than their hosts heading into this one.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head picture across the last five meetings favours Everton, who have won twice, drawn twice and lost once against Hull City. Everton's victories came in 2022, when they won after extra-time at Hull's own ground, and in 2017 when they won at Goodison Park. There have also been two draws in this fixture, in 2016 and 2014, showing Hull have been capable of holding their own at times. Hull's solitary win in this run came on New Year's Day 2015, a reminder that the Tigers have had their moments against this opponent, even if the broader record over these five meetings tilts towards Everton.

Team News

Hull City have a lengthier absentee list heading into this match. Charlie Hughes remains out with an inguinal hernia, Joe Gelhardt is sidelined with an ankle injury, Ilyas Ansah is missing with back problems, Darko Gyabi continues his recovery from a groin injury, and Eliot Matazo remains out long-term with a cruciate ligament tear. That's five senior absentees for the home side, which will test the depth of Hull's squad.

Everton's situation is more contained but not insignificant. Vitaliy Mykolenko is out with an unspecified injury picked up at the end of September, Christian Nørgaard continues to be sidelined by a groin injury, and Merlin Röhl is also absent through an unknown issue. Three names missing for the visitors is a notable list in its own right, though it's a shorter one than Hull are dealing with, and it shouldn't be enough to disrupt the shape that's brought Everton their recent run of form.