Saturday 10 October · IRE · Chase
3:10 Fairyhouse
Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase
3m½f · Going: Good · 9 runners · €9,000
Verdict — our pick: Gatsby Grey
Gatsby Grey tops our figures, rated 136 and a full 6 lb clear of Tullybeg on 130, which is a meaningful edge over this 24f trip on good ground. Tullybeg is the chief danger, while Charlie Luciano (122) and Sphagnum (121) sit a good way further back and would need to improve to reach him. The rest of the nine-runner field look to be racing for minor honours, so Gatsby Grey's superior rating gives him the best chance of seeing out the marathon distance in front. Gatsby Grey is our selection.
Runners & best odds
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1. Anodandawink(0)Form: -92111
J: Peter Smithers(5) · T: Ciaran Murphy · 5yo · 11st 12lb · OR 118 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Maxios out of Wink Wink (Galileo) · Owner: John P Mcmanus
Anodandawink arrives on a hat-trick, having won last time out and two and three starts back, and a second four starts back, fresh after 22 days and with experience over today's trip and going. Top weight of 166 lb is the burden, and our 111 ranks him sixth of nine.
2. Charlie Luciano(0)Form: 4142P9
J: Sam Ewing · T: Noel Meade · 7yo · 11st 11lb · OR 117 · trainer 7% (14d)
By Bobby's Kitten out of Viennese Whirl (Montjeu) · Owner: F J Carragher
Back out quickly after 12 days, Charlie Luciano has run over today's trip and going and was a second three starts back, while carrying 165 lb with our rating of 122 ranking him third of nine; the risk is a ninth last time out following a pulled up.
3. Sphagnum(0)Form: 0-2745
J: Philip Donovan · T: J P Broderick · 9yo · 11st 11lb · OR 117 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Urban Poet out of Well Bonnie (Gold Well) · Owner: Peat Moss Syndicate
Sphagnum is a leading danger, having run over today's trip and going before, back quickly after 14 days and rated 121 by us, with a second four starts back showing his ceiling. The one concern is a winless last five, including a fifth last time out, while carrying 165 lb.
4. Clonbury Bridge(0)Form: 62P4-P
J: Keith Donoghue · T: J P Dempsey · 10yo · 11st 7lb · OR 113 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Presenting out of Ballycloven Oscar (Oscar) · Owner: Cj T Syndicate
Clonbury Bridge has been pulled up in two of his last five and is winless in that spell, though a fourth two starts back and a second four starts back show some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 138-day break and 161 lb are concerns, while our rating of 114 sits just above his official 113.
5. Jukebox Johnny(0)Form: 5P7-21
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · 6yo · 11st 5lb · OR 111 · trainer 10% (14d)
By Jukebox Jury out of Belle Fortune (Shantou) · Owner: Anthony N Durkan B M Durkan
Jukebox Johnny won last time out and was second two starts back, but that came 69 days ago, and he carries 159 lb off an official mark of 111. He has run on today's going, yet our rating ranks him seventh of nine, so he is hard to fancy.
6. Tullybeg(0)Form: -457U9
J: Mr E M Nugent(7) · T: Brian M McMahon · 11yo · 11st 4lb · OR 110 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Sholokhov out of Verney Roe (Vinnie Roe) · Owner: Old But Reliable Syndicate
Fit from a run 14 days ago, Tullybeg has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 130 ranks him second of nine, so he's a leading threat off an official 110. The main risk is a form line reading ninth last time, unseated two starts back and winless in his last five, with 158 lb to carry.
7. Gatsby Grey(0)Form: 06PPP-
J: Phillip Enright · T: Oliver McKiernan · 10yo · 11st 0lb · OR 106 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Waldpark out of Rochepaille (Rochesson) · Owner: Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited
Gatsby Grey has run over today's trip and going before, and a fresh 19 days since his last run helps, though he has been pulled up in his last three outings. Our top-rated runner on a figure of 136 against an official 106, he looks the one to beat on that gap.
8. Pourquoi Poi(0)Form: 3B3022
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Paul W Flynn · 5yo · 10st 9lb · OR 101 · trainer 18% (14d)
By Ocovango out of Rebel Dream (Dushyantor) · Owner: P Mcguire
Pourquoi Poi has been competitive, with a second last time out and another two starts back, and he is fit after 10 days off, but he is yet to win in his last six and ranks last of nine on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, though 149 lb looks a lot to carry.
9. Smallcraftwarning(0)Form: 513411
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · 9yo · 10st 5lb · OR 97 · trainer 14% (14d)
By Gale Force Ten out of Scrumptious (Sakhee) · Owner: We Win Farming Syndicate
Hard to fancy near the foot of our ranking despite winning last time out and two starts back, as he turns out again just seven days later under 145 lb. He has run over today's trip and on the going, and his three wins in his last six starts command respect.
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