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Saturday 10 October · IRE · Chase

1:58 Fairyhouse

Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase

2m½f · Going: Good · 6 runners · €9,000

Verdict — our pick: Glen Kiln

Glen Kiln looks the strongest candidate on our figures, rated 143 and a huge 26 lb clear of the next best, Tatateo on 117, which is a gap too wide to ignore over this two-mile trip on good ground. Tatateo is the chief danger, with Manoir De Mirande (114) and Minella Post (111) also needing to step up markedly to get close. With a field of six and a rival having to improve a long way to cause an upset, Glen Kiln can assert his class. Glen Kiln is our selection.

Runners & best odds

Updated 00:10

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1. Glen Kiln(0)Form: U2186-

J: Brian Hayes · T: David Harry Kelly · 7yo · 11st 12lb · trainer 23% (14d)

By Famous Name out of Lucy Stone (Sonus) · Owner: Michael J Bowe

4/11Bet365

Glen Kiln won three starts back and was second the run before, form that sets him apart, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 162-day break and two lesser efforts since are the reservation, but he tops our ratings, 143, despite carrying 166 lb.

2. Minella Post(0)Form: 0-FP26

J: James Smith(3) · T: Thomas Gibney · 7yo · 11st 12lb · trainer 0% (14d)

By Champs Elysees out of Akdara (Sadler's Wells) · Owner: Leonard Kinsella

Fresh from a 21-day break, Minella Post has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back shows he can still hit the target, so he looms a leading threat at 166 lb. The main risk is a sixth last time out, with a pulled up and a fall further back, casting doubt on his consistency.

3. Takenasred(0)Form: 3840-3

J: Sam Ewing · T: Stuart Crawford · 8yo · 11st 12lb · yard form 64%

By Mount Nelson out of Kizmehoney (Exit To Nowhere) · Owner: J J Taylor

Third last time out and again a third five starts back, but Takenasred is winless in his last five and returns after 159 days off, which makes him hard to fancy carrying 166 lb. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our figures rank him fifth of six.

4. Tatateo(0)Form: 4910P-

J: Daniel King · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · 5yo · 11st 12lb · trainer 11% (14d)

By Teofilo out of Tayara (Lawman) · Owner: Final Reminder Syndicate

22/1Bet365

Tatateo won three starts back and has run over today's trip and on this going, while 24 days since his last run suggests he's fresh. Carrying 166 lb and pulled up last time out, he's still a leading danger, with our rating of 117 ranking him second of six.

5. Mo Ghille Mar(0)Form: 177415

J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · 5yo · 11st 5lb · OR 110 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Zoffany out of First Love (Galileo) · Owner: Bronsan Racing

25/1Bet365

Mo Ghille Mar was only fifth last time out, and she has finished seventh twice in her last six outings, so she is hard to fancy as the bottom-ranked runner on our figures, especially under 159 lb. In her favour, she won two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before.

6. Manoir De Mirande(0)Form: 71123F

J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · 4yo · 11st 3lb · trainer 13% (14d)

By It's Gino out of Gingerly (Al Namix) · Owner: Gigginstown House Stud

Won twice in his last six starts, a pair of wins four and five starts back, with a third and a second after, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is the fall last time out, 36 days ago, under 157 lb.

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