8:00 Southwell (AW)

1. Nochebuena(1)Form: 4-2129

J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · 3yo · 9st 12lb · OR 87 · trainer 23% (14d)

By Study Of Man out of Cascanueces (Smart Strike) · Owner: Miss K Rausing

9/2Bet365

Nochebuena arrives with a winner three starts back and a second two starts back, plus a fair 25-day gap and experience of today's trip, making her a leading danger on 138 lb. The main risk is a disappointing ninth last time out, which she needs to bounce back from.

2. Affettuoso(5)Form: 52-51

J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · 3yo · 9st 9lb · OR 84 · trainer 16% (14d)

By New Bay out of Cabaletta (Mastercraftsman) · Owner: Cheveley Park Stud

evnBet Victor

Affettuoso won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but a fifth two starts back and our bottom-ranked 71 rating make him hard to fancy off 135 lb and an official 84. Fresh enough after 24 days, he has a speed rating of 76.

3. Without Compromise(4)Form: 538267

J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · 5yo · 9st 8lb · OR 77 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Frankel out of Without You Babe (Lemon Drop Kid) · Owner: Paul Musson Antony Brittain

16/1Bet365

Without Compromise is winless in his last six, with a seventh last time out and a sixth before that, so he is hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back shows some ability. Ranked sixth of seven on our figures, he looks an outsider carrying 134 lb.

4. Spirit of Jura(2)Form: 752536

J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · 4yo · 9st 8lb · OR 77 · trainer 11% (14d)

By Masar out of Pamona (Duke Of Marmalade) · Owner: R W Huggins Partner

20/1Bet365

Top-rated in the field on our figures at 82, she has run over today's trip and going and was third two starts back, with a second four runs ago. The risk is a sixth last time out and no win in her last six, plus 134 lb to carry after 34 days off.

5. Now Maybe(6)Form: 2-3625

J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 82 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Lucky Vega out of Red Poppy (Declaration Of War) · Owner: Flagship Thoroughbreds

16/1Bet365

Now Maybe has been in the frame in three of his last five, including a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fitness after 31 days off is the one question, while a fifth last time out leaves him yet to win in that spell.

7. Cliff Danger(3)Form: 647914

J: Rob Hornby · T: Tom Ellis · 3yo · 9st 1lb · OR 76 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Bated Breath out of Eileendover (Canford Cliffs) · Owner: Family Sly

10/3William Hill

Cliff Danger is our selection on overall profile: a fourth last time out just 14 days ago, and a winner two starts back, with experience of both today's trip and the going. His 127 lb looks manageable, though the form before that win was patchy.

NR. Sassicaia(7)Form: 1-4353

J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · 3yo · 9st 2lb · OR 77 · trainer 0% (14d)

By St Mark's Basilica out of Bellajeu (Montjeu) · Owner: Edward Ware

6/1Bet365

Sassicaia was third last time out and has been consistent since a win five starts back, with a third and a fourth in that run, and he has run on today's going before. Against that, he's had 68 days off and carries 128 lb, while our rating of 81 ranks him only fourth of seven.