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Saturday 19 September · GB · Flat · Class 2

3:40 Ayr

Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)

6f · Going: Heavy · 24 runners · £92,772

Verdict — our pick: Aramram

Aramram represents the most compelling case in this wide-open 25-runner sprint at Ayr, where a progressive profile counts for a great deal on soft ground over six furlongs, and the narrowly higher rating carried by Spycatcher need not be the deciding factor when one runner is clearly still on an upward curve. Spycatcher, Volterra and Binhareer all pose genuine threats in a deep Class 2 field, and with soft conditions testing stamina reserves across such a large field, positioning and momentum will matter as much as raw ability. Aramram's trajectory suggests there may be more improvement to come, making the selection the value call over a rival who, however accomplished, may be closer to his ceiling. Aramram is the selection.

Runners & best odds

Updated 09:14

Best available price among the bookmakers we review — tap Bet Now to claim the bookmaker's current offer.

1. Spycatcher(5)Form: 11-007

J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · 8yo · 9st 13lb · OR 111 · trainer 18% (14d)

By Vadamos out of Damask (Red Clubs) · Owner: Highclere Tbredracing Adriana Zaefferer

28/1Coral

Spycatcher won back-to-back races four and five starts back and returns in good order just 13 days later, with experience over today's trip and going bolstering his claims; the concern is three unplaced efforts since those victories will need answering at 139 lb.

2. Volterra(9)Form: 823-28

J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · 5yo · 9st 11lb · OR 109 · trainer 7% (14d)

By Farhh out of Lajatico (Equiano) · Owner: Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid

18/1Coral

Winless in his last five starts, Volterra nonetheless shows a string of placed efforts — second two starts back, third three starts back, and second four starts back — and has experience over today's trip and going; at 137 lb from stall nine, the weight is the primary concern.

3. Aramram(18)Form: 125056

J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · 5yo · 9st 10lb · OR 108 · trainer 4% (14d)

By Blue Point out of Queen's Pearl (Exceed And Excel) · Owner: Ziad A Galadari

66/1Bet365

Aramram catches the eye on experience over today's trip and going, returning fit on a 14-day turnaround; a winner six starts back, he has shown better than his recent finishes suggest, and at 136 lb from stall 18 he remains workable on an official mark of 108.

4. Tuco Salamanca(12)Form: -16101

J: Marco Ghiani · T: Ollie Sangster · 4yo · 9st 8lb · OR 106 · trainer 9% (14d)

By Belardo out of Espoir Et Bonheur (Dansili) · Owner: Pompey Ventures 5

Tuco Salamanca has three wins in his last five starts, including a win last time out, but 42 days off the track and a return to unplaced form in between suggest some inconsistency, and 134 lb is a stiff ask from stall 12.

5. Stratusnine(6)Form: 831266

J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · 4yo · 9st 6lb · OR 104 · trainer 5% (14d)

By Far Above out of Teide Lady (Nashwan) · Owner: Stratus9 Consulting Limited

11/1Bet365

6. Two Tribes(1)Form: 072053

J: David Egan · T: Richard Spencer · 5yo · 9st 5lb · OR 103 · trainer 21% (14d)

By Rajasinghe out of Warsash (War Command) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

18/1Bet365

Third last time out and a second four starts back, Two Tribes shows enough to be competitive but remains winless in his last six starts; he has run over today's distance and going before, and a quick 14-day turnaround suggests he's fit, though 131 lb from stall one is a notable ask.

7. Binhareer(2)Form: 61-264

J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · 4yo · 9st 5lb · OR 103 · trainer 24% (14d)

By Dark Angel out of Silk Bow (Elusive City) · Owner: Salhia Stud Limited

Binhareer shaped with promise when second three starts back and went one better to win four starts back, showing he retains the ability to threaten at this level; the concern is a 63-day absence since his last outing.

8. Wiltshire(22)Form: 065100

J: Oisin Orr · T: William Haggas · 6yo · 9st 4lb · OR 102 · trainer 24% (14d)

By Aclaim out of Simballina (Azamour) · Owner: The Marathon Partnership

80/1Bet365

Wiltshire won three starts back but has been unplaced in both subsequent outings, and 84 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 130 lb from stall 22.

9. Rock On Thunder(11)Form: 26-608

J: Jack Callan · T: Kevin Ryan · 3yo · 9st 4lb · OR 104 · trainer 7% (14d)

By Night Of Thunder out of Boston Rocker (Acclamation) · Owner: Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid

100/1Bet365

Yet to score in his last five starts, Rock On Thunder does bring distance experience and returns after a 48-day break, though recent finishes of eighth and unplaced suggest he faces a stiff task from stall 11 carrying 130 lb.

10. Flash Harry(21)Form: -60901

J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Clive Cox · 4yo · 9st 3lb · OR 96 · trainer 15% (14d)

By Harry Angel out of Mrs Todd (Foxwedge) · Owner: Deauville Daze Partnership

33/1Bet365

Flash Harry won last time out and returns on a quick enough turnaround, but ranked 18 of 25 on our figures he faces a stiff ask, and his record in recent starts — four unplaced or well-beaten efforts around that sole win — gives little confidence he can sustain that form at this level.

11. Evening Saigon(24)Form: -12715

J: Faleh Bughenaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · 4yo · 9st 2lb · OR 100 · trainer 25% (14d)

By Harry Angel out of Hoodna (Invincible Spirit) · Owner: Wathnan Racing

33/1Bet365

Evening Saigon won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but fifth last time out tempers enthusiasm; 128 lb from stall 24 adds further questions, though a rating of 106 suggests he retains ability to figure if bouncing back.

12. Run Boy Run(23)Form: 200400

J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · 5yo · 9st 2lb · OR 100 · trainer 21% (14d)

By Rajasinghe out of Instructress (Diktat) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

13. Far Above Dream(14)Form: -11462

J: Jason Hart · T: James Owen · 4yo · 9st 1lb · OR 99 · trainer 8% (14d)

By Far Above out of Silk Slippers (Oasis Dream) · Owner: Gordon Mcdowall

Far Above Dream returns on a sharp 28-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going in his favour, and his second last time out shows he retains ability, though a sixth two starts back is a concern and stall 14 is where he breaks from carrying 127 lb.

14. Dance In The Storm(8)Form: -15014

J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · 4yo · 9st 1lb · OR 99 · trainer 21% (14d)

By Night Of Thunder out of Strictly Dancing (Danehill Dancer) · Owner: J C Smith

Dance In The Storm ranks 23rd of 25 on our figures, making her hard to fancy at face value, though she does bring a recent win two starts back and has run over today's trip; the 28-day gap keeps her reasonably fresh, but the rating profile leaves plenty to prove.

15. Bodhi Bear(10)Form: 851304

J: Sam James · T: J A Stack · 4yo · 9st 1lb · OR 99 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Starspangledbanner out of Wild Child (Galileo) · Owner: Mrs J Barrett

Bodhi Bear showed up with a third three starts back and a win four starts back, but he has been below par in his last two outings and returns after 41 days off; experience over today's trip and going gives him a foothold, though 127 lb is a stern ask.

16. Fine Interview(25)Form: 19-107

J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · 5yo · 9st 1lb · OR 99 · trainer 25% (14d)

By Havana Grey out of Hypatia (Holy Roman Emperor) · Owner: Wathnan Racing

Fine Interview has winning form in his last five starts — a winner three starts back and again five starts back — but last time out he finished seventh, and two starts back he was unplaced, making him hard to catch at his best; drawn 25 carrying 127 lb, he holds experience over today's trip and going.

17. Caburn(17)Form: -83064

J: Dylan Hogan · T: James Tate · 4yo · 9st 0lb · OR 98 · trainer 20% (14d)

By Twilight Son out of Tigrilla (Clodovil) · Owner: Antram Pemberton Lancaster Harrod

18. Pellitory(16)Form: 002013

J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · 4yo · 9st 0lb · OR 98 · trainer 7% (14d)

By Sergei Prokofiev out of Daphinia (Kuroshio) · Owner: Evan M Sutherland

18/1Bet365

Ranked 20 of 25 on our figures, Pellitory is hard to fancy at the weights despite a win two starts back and a third last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, but stall 16 and a speed rating of 90 leave him with plenty to find.

19. Candy(15)Form: 16-000

J: Ryan Sexton · T: Richard Spencer · 4yo · 8st 13lb · OR 97 · trainer 21% (14d)

By Ardad out of Danzena (Denounce) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

Ranked 21 of 25 on our figures, Candy has failed to trouble the judge in his last four starts and makes little appeal at the weights, though he has run over today's distance and going before and his sole recent win shows he can find the line.

21. Ardisia(13)Form: 463042

J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Hugo Palmer · 3yo · 8st 13lb · OR 99 · trainer 5% (14d)

By Ardad out of Garraun (Tamayuz) · Owner: Ardisia Partnership

Winless in his last six starts and ranked 19 of 25 on our figures, Ardisia faces a stiff ask, though a second last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement from stall 13 off 125 lb.

22. Fahrenheit Seven(7)Form: 170080

J: Oliver Stammers · T: Robert Cowell · 5yo · 8st 13lb · OR 97 · trainer 11% (14d)

By Showcasing out of Pizzazz (Foxwedge) · Owner: Middleham Park Racing Cx

Fahrenheit Seven has been out of the frame in four of his last five starts and ranks near the foot of our assessments, making him hard to fancy despite returning from a fair 28-day break; he has run over today's trip and going before, but his recent form offers little encouragement.

23. Red Spells Danger(4)Form: 124510

J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · 3yo · 8st 12lb · OR 98 · trainer 9% (14d)

By Cotai Glory out of Saikung (Acclamation) · Owner: J N Blackburn Partner

20/1Coral

Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Red Spells Danger is hard to fancy despite winning two of his last six starts, most recently two starts back; he was unplaced on his latest outing 28 days ago, and that return to form is needed here against stronger company.

24. Hammer The Hammer(20)Form: 6-0000

J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · 4yo · 8st 12lb · OR 96 · trainer 7% (14d)

By Coulsty out of Ranallagh Rocket (Acclamation) · Owner: B T Mcdonald

Winless in his last five starts and drawn in stall 20, Hammer The Hammer faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 107 offers some encouragement; 28 days between runs leaves fitness an open question.

25. Twilight Calls(19)Form: 612112

J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · 8yo · 8st 11lb · OR 95 · trainer 21% (14d)

By Twilight Son out of Zawiyah (Invincible Spirit) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

Twilight Calls ran second last time out, yet has shown real consistency with three wins in his last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back; he has experience over today's trip and going, though carrying 123 lb from stall 19 are factors to weigh.

NR. Fandom(3)Form: 043030

J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · 5yo · 8st 13lb · OR 97 · trainer 4% (14d)

By Showcasing out of Brogan (Pivotal) · Owner: Volare Aviation Ltd

125/1Betfred

Winless in his last six starts and ranked well down the field on our figures, Fandom is hard to fancy despite carrying a workable weight of 125 lb from stall three; he has run over today's trip and going before, and the 20-day break at least suggests he arrives fresh.

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