LASK vs Liverpool Betting Tips & Preview

Liverpool to win

Liverpool make the trip to face LASK in this Champions League league stage fixture, and the pick here is straightforward: Liverpool to win. LASK arrive having won just one of their last five matches, with defeats to AEK Athens, Sturm Graz and SK Rapid in recent weeks, while Liverpool - despite a recent wobble against Manchester City - have shown far greater quality and consistency across their last five outings. The head-to-head record also points firmly one way, with Liverpool having won both of the previous meetings between these two sides. Our model puts the probability of a Liverpool win at 42.6%, and while that may not sound overwhelming in isolation, it's comfortably the most likely single outcome when you consider the alternative is Liverpool losing or drawing against a side that has struggled for results domestically. The price on offer, 1.25, is simply where the market has landed - the reasoning behind this selection rests on form and history, not on hunting for a gap between model and bookmaker.

Recent Form

LASK's form over the last month has been shaky at best. They opened this run with a win away at Wolfsberger AC, but since then they've lost to AEK Athens, been beaten by Sturm Graz, drawn with Hartberg, and most recently fallen to SK Rapid at home on 11 October. That's one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five, a sequence that suggests a side short on confidence heading into this one.

Liverpool's picture is more mixed than their reputation might suggest, but still considerably stronger. They beat Atlético de Madrid at home, drew with Fulham, then beat Tottenham Hotspur and Bournemouth in back-to-back matches before suffering a loss to Manchester City on 11 October. Three wins, a draw and a defeat against that calibre of opposition is a reasonable return, and there's nothing in that run to suggest Liverpool are out of form heading into a fixture against a team currently struggling for results.

Head-to-Head

The two sides have met twice before, both occasions coming back in 2023, and Liverpool have won both. The first meeting, on 21 September 2023, saw LASK Linz host Liverpool and lose. The return fixture on 30 November 2023 went the same way, with Liverpool winning on their own patch. LASK have never beaten Liverpool in the meetings on record, and that historical pattern aligns with the current form lines heading into this latest clash.

Team News

LASK have a lengthy list of absentees to contend with. Sascha Horvath (hamstring), Andrés Andrade (muscle injury) and Kasper Jørgensen (unknown injury) are all sidelined, while Ramiz Harakaté is out with a cruciate ligament tear. Cheikne Kébé, Art Smakaj and Harakaté are also listed as unavailable through eligibility issues, leaving LASK's squad options notably thinned out for this match.

Liverpool also have injury concerns of their own. Cody Gakpo (ankle), Dominik Szoboszlai (thigh), Alexander Isak (thigh) and Giovanni Leoni (fitness) are all out, while Hugo Ekitiké remains sidelined long-term following an Achilles tendon rupture. Wataru Endo and Federico Chiesa are unavailable due to eligibility restrictions. It's a significant list for Liverpool, particularly in attacking areas, but even with those absences their squad depth and current form still give them the clear edge over a LASK side dealing with its own injury and eligibility problems.