Fulham vs Newcastle Betting Tips & Preview

Fulham to win

Fulham get the nod here, and it comes down to a combination of recent head-to-head dominance and a Newcastle side that currently looks short on confidence. The Cottagers have had their own wobbles lately, but they've shown they can beat decent opposition when it matters, while Newcastle arrive on the back of a genuinely poor run of results. Our model puts the chances of a home win at 42.1%, which isn't an overwhelming figure in isolation, but across the realistic match outcomes it's the single most likely result, and that's the basis for the selection. The price of 2.10 is simply what's available if you want to back that view — it isn't the reason for picking it.

Recent Form

Fulham's last five fixtures paint a mixed but not alarming picture. They lost away to Ipswich Town in mid-October, but bounced back with home and away wins over Hull City and Coventry City respectively, showing they can still find results against teams around their level. A home defeat to Crystal Palace interrupted that momentum, and they were held to a draw away at Aston Villa in their most recent outing. Two wins, two defeats and a draw from five is hardly a vintage run, but there's enough competitive edge in there to suggest they're not short of fight.

Newcastle's recent record is considerably more concerning. They've lost four of their last five, starting with a defeat away at Coventry City and following it with a loss at home to Aston Villa. A win away at Crystal Palace offered a brief lift, but it's been followed by back-to-back defeats to Everton, home and away, in successive matches. That's a club shipping results at an alarming rate heading into this one, and it's difficult to find much in that sequence to suggest an immediate turnaround.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head picture over the last five meetings actually favours Fulham, who have won three of those encounters to Newcastle's two, with no draws recorded between them in that span. Fulham were victorious in the most recent meeting back in May 2026, and they also won the corresponding fixture in September 2024. Newcastle's two wins in this sample came in quick succession during the 2025-26 season, in October and December 2025, both of those games played at Newcastle. Fulham's other win came in a reverse fixture at Newcastle's ground in February 2025, suggesting they're capable of getting a result regardless of venue. Taken as a whole, this is a fixture Fulham have had the better of lately, and that history lines up with the broader case for backing them here.

Team News

Fulham have no players currently listed as sidelined in the data available, which gives them a clean bill of health heading into this match and the flexibility to field their strongest available side. Newcastle, by contrast, are missing Tino Livramento, who has been out since mid-June with a knee injury. His absence from the back line is a notable one for a Newcastle side already struggling for form and consistency, and it adds another layer to the case for Fulham going into this game with the upper hand.