Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Betting Tips & Preview

Crystal Palace to win

Crystal Palace to win is the call for this one, with the Eagles edging it as the most likely outcome on the balance of recent evidence and their head-to-head record against this Newcastle side. Our model puts the probability of a home win at 42%, and while the best price out there sits at 3.00, that's simply the market available — the pick is made because Palace look the stronger bet to come out on top, not because of any perceived gap between model and odds. Both teams arrive out of form, which makes this a trickier read than it might first appear, but Palace's slightly better recent head-to-head showing against Newcastle tips the balance their way.

Recent Form

Palace's last five fixtures paint a mixed picture. They drew with Leeds United away, then beat Nottingham Forest at home, before a rough patch saw them lose away to Olympique Lyonnais and Brighton & Hove Albion in quick succession. They steadied things somewhat with a draw away at Beşiktaş most recently, suggesting a side that's not quite firing but capable of grinding out results when needed.

Newcastle's form reads rockier still. They opened this run with wins over Millwall and Hull City, either side of a loss to Leeds United, but their last two outings have both ended in defeat — away to Coventry City and at home to Aston Villa. Losing back-to-back games, and particularly dropping points at home to Villa, suggests a team short on confidence heading into this trip to south London, and that dip in momentum is a significant factor in rating Palace the likelier winners here.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between these two sides over the last five meetings reads 2-1-2 in Crystal Palace's favour. Palace won the most recent encounter back in April 2026 at home, though Newcastle had the better of it earlier in that same year, winning away in January, and also won the meeting before that in April 2025. There was a draw at Selhurst Park in November 2024, and Palace's other win in this sample came in April 2024, also on home soil. It's a fairly even split across the sample, but Palace's two wins have both come at home, which is a relevant thread given this fixture is also being played at Selhurst Park.

Team News

Crystal Palace have one absence of note, with Chadi Riad continuing to be sidelined through a knee injury that has kept him out since late August. Beyond that, there's nothing else flagged on the team news front for the hosts.

Newcastle United, by contrast, have a longer list of unavailable players. William Osula remains out with a foot injury picked up in late August, Dan Burn is missing with an ankle problem, Joelinton continues to be sidelined by an unspecified injury dating back to mid-August, and Tino Livramento has been out since mid-June with a knee issue. That's a notable number of absences for the visitors to contend with, and combined with their recent slide in form, it adds further weight to the case for backing the home side in this one.