Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Tips & Preview

Liverpool to win

Our pick here is Liverpool to win at Selhurst Park, and it comes down to a mix of recent quality and a head-to-head record that, while mixed, has tended to favour the Reds in the bigger picture. Crystal Palace have shown they can mix it with good sides, but their form has been patchy over the last few weeks, while Liverpool arrive off the back of some eye-catching results even amid a couple of damaging defeats. The model gives this outcome a 50.8% chance, making it the single most likely result of the three, and that's the basis for the selection rather than anything to do with the odds on offer. The price of 1.60 is simply what's available — the pick stands on logic and recent evidence, not on hunting for a gap between model and market.

Recent Form

Crystal Palace's last five outings make for uneven reading. They were beaten by Newcastle United at home, then bounced back with an away win over Fulham, before losing again away to Tottenham Hotspur. Most recently they were held to a draw by TSG Hoffenheim at home. That's one win, one draw and two defeats from four completed matches, a run that suggests a side capable of moments of quality but without real consistency heading into this one.

Liverpool's recent form is similarly uneven on paper but arguably sharper at the top end. They beat Brighton & Hove Albion at home and then saw off Chelsea on penalties, both positive results, before losing to Arsenal at home and then suffering another defeat away to Fenerbahçe. Two wins and two losses from their last four completed games shows a team capable of beating good opposition but also vulnerable to slipping up, which is worth bearing in mind even as they're backed here.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between these two sides is tightly contested. Across the last five meetings, Crystal Palace have won twice, Liverpool have won twice, and there's been one draw. Liverpool's most recent trip to Selhurst Park-type fixtures hasn't always gone their way historically, with Palace winning at Anfield as recently as October 2025 and also beating Liverpool at Selhurst Park back in September 2025. Liverpool's wins in this sample came in April 2026 and October 2024, with a draw at Anfield in May 2025 rounding out the picture. It's a fixture that has produced balance rather than domination from either side, which makes the current form lines all the more relevant.

Team News

Crystal Palace have one notable absence, with Chadi Riad out through a knee injury since August 23, 2026. Liverpool have a longer list of unavailable players: Jeremie Frimpong is out with a muscle injury since October 18, 2026, Wataru Endo and Federico Chiesa are both listed as unavailable due to eligibility issues since September 3, 2026, and Hugo Ekitiké remains out long-term following an Achilles tendon rupture suffered in April 2026. That's a meaningful list of absentees for Liverpool, and it's a factor to weigh even as the broader form and head-to-head picture still point toward them as the more likely winners on the day.