Arsenal vs Everton Betting Tips & Preview

Arsenal to win

Arsenal head into this Premier League fixture against Everton as clear favourites, and the pick here is a home win. The Gunners have strung together three straight victories before a creditable draw away at Bayern Munich, and their head-to-head record against Everton over the last five meetings — three wins and two draws, with no defeats — backs up the sense that this is a fixture Arsenal tend to handle comfortably. Everton, by contrast, come into the game having lost their most recent outing and with only middling form to show across their last five. The model puts Arsenal's win probability at 64.7%, and while the best price available is 1.44, that number is just context for anyone looking to back the selection rather than the reason for picking it. This is simply the outcome that looks most likely given the shape of both sides' recent results and their history against one another.

Recent Form

Arsenal's last five fixtures show a team that's largely been in control, bar one slip. They lost away to Brighton & Hove Albion back in September, but since then have won three on the bounce — beating Leeds United and LOSC Lille at home before following up with an away win at Nottingham Forest. Their most recent match, away to Bayern Munich, ended in a draw, which is no disgrace against that kind of opposition and suggests the underlying form remains solid heading into this one.

Everton's recent form is more mixed. They opened this run with a draw away at Tottenham Hotspur, then won back-to-back home games against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Ipswich Town. Since then, though, the momentum has stalled — a draw at Hull City was followed by a home defeat to Chelsea. That means Everton arrive here having won just two of their last five, with two draws and a loss rounding out the picture, and they'll need to find a response after that Chelsea setback.

Head-to-Head

The recent history between these two sides tilts firmly in Arsenal's favour. Of the last five meetings, Arsenal have won three and drawn two, without losing any of them. Those wins came in March 2026, December 2025, and May 2024, while the draws were recorded in April 2025 and December 2024. It's a pattern that spans both home and away fixtures, with Arsenal never having come out on the losing side in any of these encounters, which adds further weight to the idea that this is a matchup Arsenal are generally well-suited to.

Team News

Arsenal have three players sidelined for this one. Christos Tzolis is out with a thigh problem, having been absent since the start of October, while Piero Hincapié is missing with an ankle injury picked up a little later in the same month. William Saliba remains a longer-term absentee, out since mid-July with a back injury, so his continued unavailability is nothing new for Arsenal at this stage of the season.

Everton, meanwhile, have no players currently listed as sidelined in our data, meaning no notable absences reported for the visitors. That gives Mikel Arteta's side a squad disadvantage on paper, at least in terms of raw numbers missing, though the quality and recent form gap between the two teams still points toward Arsenal as the side better placed to get the win.