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Sunday 11 October · GB · Flat · Class 4

1:47 Goodwood

Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

2m · Going: Good To Soft · 12 runners · £9,160

Verdict — our pick: Carthusian

Carthusian heads our ratings on 86 and looks the one to beat in this 16f Class 4 at Goodwood, with conditions on good to soft giving him no obvious reason to underperform. The main danger is Aggagio, who is level with him on 86 and so cannot be dismissed, while Mr Freedom is three pounds behind on 83 and Solar Pass is a further three back on 80. With the remainder of the field rated 77 or lower, this looks a contest between the leading few, and Carthusian can edge it. Carthusian is our selection.

Runners & best odds

Updated 23:50

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1. Carthusian(7)Form: 797411

J: Sean Quinlan · T: Jennie Candlish · 4yo · 12st 1lb · OR 81 · trainer 17% (14d)

By Lope De Vega out of Chartreuse (Lawman) · Owner: The Carthusians

Carthusian arrives in cracking form, having won last time out and again two starts back, and he's fresh enough after just 14 days off. He has run over today's trip and on this going before, and our rating of 86 makes him the one to beat, though 169 lb is a hefty burden.

2. Klycot(9)Form: 72503-

J: Kevin Brogan · T: Richard Bandey · 4yo · 12st 0lb · OR 80 · trainer 0% (14d)

By The Grey Gatsby out of Queen Bubble (Layman) · Owner: Les Amis De Cedric

11/2Bet365

Klycot is yet to win in his last five starts, though he finished third last time out and a second four starts back shows some ability. Returning after 215 days at 168 lb, he looks unexposed and open to improvement.

3. Arc Zoosve(10)Form: 511110

J: Jack Quinlan · T: Neil King · 5yo · 11st 13lb · OR 79 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Time Test out of Jostle (Brocco) · Owner: Iain Francis

11/1Bet365

Arc Zoosve won four on the bounce before going unplaced last time out, and he has run over today's trip, but 106 days off and 167 lb on an official rating of 79 make this a stiff ask; our rating of 76 has him seventh of twelve.

4. Aggagio(3)Form: 4-5360

J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Gary & Josh Moore · 8yo · 11st 8lb · OR 74 · trainer 8% (14d)

By Born To Sea out of Ravage (Verglas) · Owner: Aura Racing

12/1Bet365

Quick back-up just eight days after his last run, Aggagio has run over today's trip and going before and posted a third three starts back, while our rating of 86 ranks him second of twelve. The risk is a 162 lb burden and an unplaced effort last time out.

5. Solar Pass(1)Form: 522277

J: Nico de Boinville · T: Andrew Balding · 4yo · 11st 7lb · OR 73 · trainer 11% (14d)

By Phoenix Reach out of Highland Pass (Passing Glance) · Owner: Kingsclere Racing Club

10/1Bet365

Solar Pass has run to a second three times in her last six starts and has experience over today's trip and going, while our rating of 80 ranks her fourth of 12; the risk is two straight seventh-placed efforts, most recently 18 days ago.

6. Mr Freedom(11)Form: 358544

J: Marc Goldstein · T: Sheena West · 7yo · 11st 7lb · OR 73 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Sixties Icon out of Waitingforachance (Sayif) · Owner: The Affordable 3 Partnership

Mr Freedom is a solid player on consistency, with a fourth last time out and another fourth two starts back, and he returns fresh enough after just 10 days. He has run on today's going before and our rating ranks him third of twelve, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.

7. Rogue Empire(5)Form: 111934

J: Tom Cannon · T: Roger Teal · 4yo · 11st 6lb · OR 72 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Time Test out of Magic Meg (Raven's Pass) · Owner: The Idle Bs

Rogue Empire arrives fit after 22 days, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back following a hat-trick of wins, and he has run over today's trip. A weight of 160 lb and a ninth three starts back temper things, with our rating of 77 placing him fifth of twelve.

8. Poncho(4)Form: 82910-

J: Freddie Mitchell · T: Gary & Josh Moore · 8yo · 11st 4lb · OR 70 · trainer 8% (14d)

By Motivator out of Strelkita (Dr Fong) · Owner: Steven Packham Gary Moore

Poncho won two starts back but was unplaced last time out, and he returns after 281 days off, so fitness is the question; he has run over today's trip and our rating of 76 ranks him sixth of twelve, though 158 lb is a hefty burden.

9. Division Day(6)Form: 2-1513

J: Charlie Deutsch · T: Lydia Richards · 4yo · 11st 2lb · OR 68 · trainer 50% (14d)

By Ulysses out of Full Day (Champs Elysees) · Owner: Ms P J Baker

17/2Bet365

Division Day has two wins in his last five and was third last time out, but he is hard to fancy carrying 156 lb off an official mark of 68 after 37 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures still rank him 11th of 12.

10. Easter Icon(8)Form: /11-76

J: Charlie Price · T: Gary Brown · 7yo · 10st 13lb · OR 65 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Sixties Icon out of Vive Ma Fille (Doyen) · Owner: Mrs S Bullock

Easter Icon has tailed off since back-to-back wins, finishing a seventh two starts back and a sixth last time out, and he returns after 44 days under a hefty 153 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him tenth of 12.

11. Kotari(12)Form: 54-652

J: Caoilin Quinn · T: Gary & Josh Moore · 7yo · 10st 10lb · OR 62 · trainer 8% (14d)

By Nathaniel out of Kotama (Siyouni) · Owner: Heart Of The South Racing 134

11/2Bet365

Kotari showed a bit of promise when second last time out, 16 days ago, and has run on today's going, but he is yet to win in his last five starts and the fifth, sixth, fourth and fifth before that suggest limits. Carrying 150 lb off 62, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 76 ranking him eighth of twelve.

12. Fair Dinkum(2)Form: 524345

J: Harry Kimber · T: Jeremy Scott · 6yo · 10st 10lb · OR 62 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Australia out of Wannabe Posh (Grand Lodge) · Owner: D Coles P Moore

12/1Bet365

Fair Dinkum is yet to win in his last six starts, finishing fifth last time out and fourth, third, fourth, second and fifth before that, so he is hard to fancy at 150 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, though, and our rating of 72 sits well above his official 62.

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