Saturday 22 August · GB · Flat · Class 4
5:25 Redcar
Marske Fabrications And Engineering Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications And Engineering Straight Mile Qualifier)
1m · Going: Good · 10 runners · £5,234
Verdict — our pick: Mr King
Mr King rates 3 lb below the top-rated Regalian on these figures, but his progressive profile makes him an appealing proposition over this mile at Redcar, suggesting there is more improvement to come that the bare ratings do not yet fully reflect. Regalian heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Kaleido and Substance, both assessed on 82, represent live threats if running to their marks. On balance, the progressive profile of Mr King edges the case in his favour, and he is our selection.
Runners & best odds
Updated 14:21Best available price among the bookmakers we review — tap Bet Now to claim the bookmaker's current offer.
1. Kaleido(9)Form: 609225
J: Sean D Bowen · T: David O'Meara · 4yo · 10st 2lb · OR 80 · trainer 12% (14d)
By Make Believe out of Contradict (Raven's Pass) · Owner: J C G Chua
Kaleido has finished second in two of his last four starts and returns here with experience of today's trip and going, making him a genuine threat to the top-rated runner despite being yet to score; the main risk is a disappointing fifth last time out just 37 days ago.
2. Rajapour(1)Form: 6941F5
J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · 6yo · 10st 1lb · OR 79 · trainer 12% (14d)
By Almanzor out of Raydara (Rock Of Gibraltar) · Owner: Evan M Sutherland
Rajapour won three starts back but has fallen and finished fifth in his two most recent outings, so confidence is fragile despite a 21-day freshen-up; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 141 lb from stall one gives him a clear enough surface to work from.
3. Mr King(4)Form: 0-6718
J: Connor Beasley · T: Geoffrey Harker · 6yo · 10st 0lb · OR 78 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Kingman out of Desert Snow (Teofilo) · Owner: C H Mcghie
Mr King won two starts back and returns here on 29 days' rest, which is a solid prep gap, carrying 140 lb from stall four over a trip and going he has experience of; an eighth last time is the one blemish, but his overall profile makes him our pick.
4. Regalian(5)Form: 3-6888
J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · 4yo · 9st 11lb · OR 75 · trainer 13% (14d)
By Kingman out of Missrock (Fastnet Rock) · Owner: Simon Bland Tony Coyle
Regalian is the top-rated runner in this field and has run over today's trip and going, with a third in his recent starts showing he can threaten, though winless in his last five, that recurring tendency to finish towards the rear is the chief concern.
5. Queen Tamara(8)Form: 212-97
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · 3yo · 9st 10lb · OR 80 · trainer 20% (14d)
By Space Blues out of Countess De Vega (Lope De Vega) · Owner: Mohammed Jaber
A winner four starts back and second three starts back, Queen Tamara has since slipped to a pair of disappointing efforts, and 64 days off the track adds a fitness query; experience over today's trip and going offers some grounding, but she faces a stiff ask from 136 lb out of stall eight.
6. Camino Del Ray(7)Form: 65-614
J: Jason Hart · T: Julie Camacho · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 73 · trainer 5% (14d)
By Cable Bay out of Twinkle Twinkle (Exceed And Excel) · Owner: Star Cottage Stud
Just the one win in his last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Camino Del Ray faces an uphill task on return from 135 days off, with a trainer striking at just five per cent recently; he has run over today's trip and that winning effort two starts back offers the sole crumb of comfort.
7. Poet's Dawn(6)Form: 631117
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · 11yo · 9st 9lb · OR 73 · trainer 5% (14d)
By Poet's Voice out of Dudley Queen (Excellent Art) · Owner: Timothy Ogram Partner
Beaten into seventh last time out despite a sequence of three wins in his last six starts, Poet's Dawn faces an uphill task ranked eighth of ten on our figures, and a trainer striking at just 5% over the past fortnight does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
8. Substance(10)Form: -41036
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 75 · trainer 0% (14d)
By Supremacy out of Miranda Frost (Cape Cross) · Owner: Ursa Major Racing Ltd
Substance arrives on the back of a win four starts back and has experience over today's trip and going, with a quick eight-day turnaround suggesting he is in good order; the main concern is carrying 131 lb from stall ten.
9. Mount King(3)Form: 865129
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · 6yo · 9st 1lb · OR 65 · trainer 5% (14d)
By National Defense out of Christmas Joy (Galileo) · Owner: Ryedale Partners No1
Mount King finished ninth last time out and ranks bottom of this field on our figures, with a struggling trainer striking at just 5% recently making it hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going before, and that second two starts back at least shows some ability.
10. Boy Named Sioux(2)Form: 16-579
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo · 8st 11lb · OR 67 · trainer 16% (14d)
By Sioux Nation out of Mysterious Burg (Sageburg) · Owner: Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club Ltd
Boy Named Sioux showed he can win in recent starts, scoring a winner five starts back, though he has posted finishes of ninth, seventh, and fifth more recently, suggesting he is struggling to recapture that form; experience over today's trip and going offers some grounding, but he faces a stiff ask from stall 2 off 123 lb.
More at Redcar today
Make the price work harder
Check today's horse racing offers before you strike a bet, or plan a multiple with the Lucky 15 calculator. All of today's cards are on the racing hub.
18+ · Odds correct at the time shown and change quickly on race day — always confirm the price on the bookmaker's site. UKGC-licensed operators only. begambleaware.org