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Saturday 22 August · GB · Flat · Class 1

2:40 Chester

Virgin Bet Chester Stakes (Listed Race)

1m6½f · Going: Good To Soft · 8 runners · £34,026

Verdict — our pick: By The Book

By The Book arrives here on a progressive profile that justifies siding with him ahead of the top-rated Lazy Griff, who holds a narrowly ahead on ratings but whose ceiling may already be better mapped, whereas By The Book's upward curve suggests there is more to come at this trip on good-to-soft ground at Chester. Lazy Griff and Midak represent the principal dangers, with Duraji also capable of troubling the judge over fourteen furlongs if the conditions suit. The verdict, held with modest confidence, is By The Book.

Runners & best odds

Updated 14:22

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1. Lazy Griff(3)Form: 23-317

J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · 4yo · 9st 11lb · OR 112 · trainer 18% (14d)

By Protectionist out of Linarda (Rock Of Gibraltar) · Owner: Middleham Park Racing G Griffiths

Lazy Griff arrives on the back of a win two starts ago and has experience of today's going, with our rating of 117 marking him out as the top-rated runner in the field; the main concern is that seventh on his most recent outing leaves him needing to bounce back sharply.

2. By The Book(7)Form: 1-3362

J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · 5yo · 9st 8lb · OR 109 · trainer 38% (14d)

By Frankel out of Cash In The Hand (Exchange Rate) · Owner: Godolphin

By The Book caught the eye with a runner-up finish last time out, and a third three starts back adds encouragement, with a trainer firing at 42% in the last 14 days a telling fitness pointer despite the 49-day gap.

3. Duraji(8)Form: 0-6304

J: Marco Ghiani · T: Richard Hughes · 5yo · 9st 8lb · OR 95 · trainer 11% (14d)

By Dubawi out of Nightime (Galileo) · Owner: Jastar Capital Limited

Duraji showed fair ability when third three starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 104 suggests he holds strong claims here; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.

4. Fantasy World(5)Form: 11531-

J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · 4yo · 9st 8lb · OR 103 · trainer 17% (14d)

By Make Believe out of Donau (High Chaparral) · Owner: Lady Bamford Alice Bamford

Fantasy World won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but 162 days off the track is a significant fitness query, and carrying 134 lb for a gelding ranked sixth of eight on ratings makes this a tough ask on return.

5. Midak(2)Form: -69447

J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ian Williams · 4yo · 9st 8lb · OR 102 · trainer 5% (14d)

By Footstepsinthesand out of Minya (Sinndar) · Owner: Mrs Fitri Hay

Midak has posted consecutive fourth-place finishes two and three starts back, showing consistent competitiveness at this level, and our rating of 112 suggests he holds a strong chance here; the chief concern is a trainer firing at just 5% over the past fortnight.

6. Tactician(1)Form: 12166/

J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · 5yo · 9st 8lb · OR 88 · trainer 17% (14d)

By Lope De Vega out of Fly The Flag (Australia) · Owner: Denford Stud

Tactician faces a stiff ask on these figures, ranked bottom of the field, and a 700-day absence makes him extremely difficult to fancy whatever his earlier promise; he has run over today's trip and going before, and that winning record in recent starts at least hints at latent ability if fitness holds.

7. Lady Vivian(4)Form: 72-542

J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · 4yo · 9st 3lb · OR 99 · trainer 15% (14d)

By Camelot out of Ceol An Ghra (Teofilo) · Owner: Wathnan Racing

Placed second last time out and second four starts back, Lady Vivian has some solid recent form to offer, though she remains winless in her last five starts and returns after a 50-day absence; she has run over today's trip and carries 129 lb.

8. Orchard Keeper(6)Form: 3244-5

J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · 5yo · 9st 3lb · OR 93 · trainer 35% (14d)

By Churchill out of Fearn's Pippin (Dubawi) · Owner: William Crager

18/1Bet365

Winless in her last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Orchard Keeper faces a stiff ask here, though she has distance and going experience to call on and her trainer is in decent nick at 30% over the past fortnight.

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