BeGambleAware.org
MAXFREEBETS

Saturday 22 August · GB · Flat · Class 2

3:54 Newmarket (July)

£200,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Going: Good · 18 runners · £108,220

Verdict — our pick: Night In Vegas

Night In Vegas heads the field on these figures, narrowly ahead of A Bear Affair, and the pair pull clear of the remainder in what is a wide-open sprint at Newmarket's July course. The six-furlong trip on good-to-firm ground suits a horse of Night In Vegas's profile, and the confidence with which she can be supported is tempered by the presence of A Bear Affair, who is only a pound in arrears and represents a serious threat, with Topaz and Zigazig Ah also capable of making their presence felt in a large field. With the caveat that this is a competitive Class 2 with plenty of chances, Night In Vegas is the selection.

Runners & best odds

Updated 14:20

Best available price among the bookmakers we review — tap Bet Now to claim the bookmaker's current offer.

1. A Bear Affair(19)Form: 137628

J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · 2yo · 9st 7lb · OR 94 · trainer 4% (14d)

By Kodi Bear out of Jeanie B (Bated Breath) · Owner: A Bit On The Side

10/1Bet365

A Bear Affair shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and his win in recent starts underlines his ability at this level; carrying 133 lb from stall 19 is a neutral factor, though the trainer's current 4% strike rate is the one concern.

2. Night In Vegas(7)Form: 1153

J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo · 9st 7lb · OR 102 · trainer 11% (14d)

By Lucky Vega out of Strait Power (Rock Of Gibraltar) · Owner: Kennet Valley Syndicates Vi

10/11Betfred

Night In Vegas won two of his last four starts, with a third last time out keeping him firmly in the picture, and he has experience of both today's trip and the going; drawn seven carrying 133 lb, he is the one to beat.

3. Baddaddan(16)Form: 41

J: Robert Havlin · T: Richard Spencer · 2yo · 9st 3lb · OR 83 · trainer 5% (14d)

By Mehmas out of Atomic Lady (Kodiac) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

Unexposed he may be, but a 20-point gap between our rating and the official mark makes him very hard to fancy in a field of 20; drawn 16 and carrying 129 lb add little comfort, though the winner last time out and experience over today's trip and going give him some foothold.

4. Chief Minister(3)Form: 95

J: Georgia Dobie · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo · 9st 1lb · trainer 11% (14d)

By Mattmu out of Secretarial (Kingman) · Owner: J Allison T Cartwright

125/1Bet365

Winless in his last two starts — fifth most recently and ninth two starts back — Chief Minister arrives from draw 3 carrying 127 lb, and with our rating ranking him nineteenth of twenty, it is hard to make a compelling case despite his experience over today's trip and going.

5. Conciliate(20)Form: 731

J: Neil Callan · T: John Butler · 2yo · 9st 1lb · OR 78 · trainer 22% (14d)

By St Mark's Basilica out of Declaring Love (Dubawi) · Owner: Kevin Quinn

40/1Bet365

Conciliate bounced back to win last time out, but a seventh three starts back clouds the profile, and his rating of 68 ranks him towards the foot of the field. He has run over today's trip and returns after 48 days off carrying 127 lb from stall 20.

6. Everatease(11)Form: 641102

J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo · 9st 1lb · OR 81 · trainer 11% (14d)

By A'Ali out of Displaying Amber (Showcasing) · Owner: Ever Equine

18/1Bet365

Everatease won two of his last six starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a runner-up finish last time is tempered by an unplaced effort in between, and carrying 127 lb from stall 11 makes this a competitive ask.

7. Red Blue Point(12)Form: 2

J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Tate · 2yo · 9st 1lb · trainer 24% (14d)

By Blue Point out of Grammata (Twilight Son) · Owner: Mr Jaber Abdullah

Yet to score in his last start but shaped with plenty of promise when runner-up, and Red Blue Point has run over today's trip before; the 127 lb burden from stall 12 is the obvious query for a colt rated 74 in a 20-runner field.

8. Mojito Madness(13)Form: 531

J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Gihan Arnolda · 2yo · 8st 13lb · OR 77 · trainer 0% (14d)

By Kodiac out of Dance Club (Fasliyev) · Owner: Chris Housego

100/1Bet365

Mojito Madness won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but third and fifth in his two prior starts suggest inconsistency, and our rating of 70 leaves him with something to prove against stronger rivals from stall 13 carrying 125 lb.

9. Frumoasa(1)Form: 13

J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · 2yo · 8st 12lb · OR 78 · trainer 17% (14d)

By Supremacy out of Summer Daydream (Footstepsinthesand) · Owner: Laurence Bellman And Partner

40/1Bet365

Showed a smart turn of form when winning two starts back, then ran third last time out, and she has run over today's trip; however, 94 days off the track is a query at 124 lb from stall one.

10. Topaz(18)Form: 2021

J: David Probert · T: Jack Channon · 2yo · 8st 12lb · OR 83 · trainer 6% (14d)

By Persian Force out of Wall Of Sapphire (Lawman) · Owner: Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Debussy

Topaz arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, and has experience of today's distance and going — the main query is whether 124 lb from stall 18 blunts her finishing effort.

11. Baldetti(8)Form: 325

J: Dylan Hogan · T: Michael Dods · 2yo · 8st 11lb · OR 74 · trainer 16% (14d)

By Minzaal out of Alanza (Dubai Destination) · Owner: G H Thompson And Michael Dods

100/1Bet365

Winless in his last three starts, Baldetti does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a second two starts back hints at ability; however, carrying 123 lb from stall eight while ranked well down the field on ratings makes progress hard to predict.

13. Leucothea(14)Form: 23202

J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · 2yo · 8st 10lb · OR 73 · trainer 4% (14d)

By Soldier's Call out of Maine Island (Shamardal) · Owner: Jastar Capital Limited

50/1Bet365

Leucothea has placed in four of her last five starts — second last time out and a second three starts back — but is yet to win in recent starts, and a trainer firing at just 4% over the past fortnight is a concern, despite her experience over today's trip and going.

14. Proper Naughty(15)Form: 3

J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · 2yo · 8st 10lb · trainer 4% (14d)

By Mehmas out of Spirited Account (Charm Spirit) · Owner: Mr W J Salthouse

40/1Bet365

Ranked 17 of 20 on our figures, Proper Naughty faces a stiff ask, and a trainer firing at just 4% in the last 14 days does little to inspire confidence; she has run over today's trip and going, and a third last time out at least shows some presence.

15. Zigazig Ah(6)Form: 2115

J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · 2yo · 8st 10lb · OR 85 · trainer 5% (14d)

By Rajasinghe out of Rebel Surge (Kodiac) · Owner: Phil Cunningham

Zigazig Ah won twice in her last four starts, with a win two starts back giving her strong recent credentials, and she has run over today's trip and going, while carrying 122 lb from stall six is the factor to weigh against her chances.

16. Supreme Star(9)Form: 622

J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Marco Botti · 2yo · 8st 9lb · OR 79 · trainer 27% (14d)

By Supremacy out of Ragtime Dancer (Medicean) · Owner: Middleham Park Racing Xxxviii Partner

33/1Bet365

Twice runner-up in his last three starts yet to win, Supreme Star brings consistent placing form and distance and going experience to the table, though his rating of 66 and draw nine give pause for thought, even if his trainer is firing at 27% in the past fortnight.

17. Lady Rosalind(17)Form: 917

J: Ashley Lewis · T: William Haggas · 2yo · 8st 8lb · OR 75 · trainer 20% (14d)

By Starman out of Lambeth Walk (Charm Spirit) · Owner: Somerville Lodge Limited

Won a start back two starts ago but disappointing efforts either side of it temper confidence, and she has run over today's trip and going before; 33 days off is manageable, though carrying 120 lb from stall 17 gives the handicapper room to keep her honest.

18. Tallahassee Lassie(5)Form: 65319

J: George Bass · T: James Fanshawe · 2yo · 8st 8lb · OR 64 · trainer 26% (14d)

By Tasleet out of Patuano (Choisir) · Owner: My Racing Manager Friends

100/1Bet365

Ranked well outside the principals on our figures, Tallahassee Lassie faces a stiff task after finishing ninth last time out, and in her last five starts that sole win looks increasingly distant, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick enough turnaround at 17 days.

20. Polgaria(10)Form: 884

J: Olivia Tubb · T: Roger Teal · 2yo · 8st 4lb · OR 48 · trainer 17% (14d)

By Masar out of Bournemouth Belle (Canford Cliffs) · Owner: Steven Payne

150/1Bet365

Winless in her last three starts, including consecutive eighths, Polgaria ranks last on our figures and faces a stiff ask from stall ten carrying 116 lb, though she has run over today's trip before and returns on a sharp nine-day turnaround.

NR. Issy's Gift(2)Form: 9

J: Connor Planas · T: Jack Channon · 2yo · 8st 11lb · trainer 6% (14d)

By Ardad out of Society Gal (Galileo) · Owner: Middleham Park Racing Lix & Partner

100/1Bet365

Winless in recent starts and ranked 18th of 20 on our figures, Issy's Gift faces a stiff task on comeback after 93 days off, though he has run over today's trip before and an inside draw from stall two offers some positional interest.

NR. Ron's Angel(4)Form: 2102

J: Josephine Gordon · T: John Butler · 2yo · 8st 6lb · OR 74 · trainer 22% (14d)

By Harry Angel out of Night Charter (Night Of Thunder) · Owner: Ron Ford

33/1Bet365

Ron's Angel ran second last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but she was unplaced two starts back and has been off for 38 days, leaving a mixed profile that places her firmly in the midfield picture from stall 4.

More at Newmarket (July) today

Make the price work harder

Check today's horse racing offers before you strike a bet, or plan a multiple with the Lucky 15 calculator. All of today's cards are on the racing hub.

18+ · Odds correct at the time shown and change quickly on race day — always confirm the price on the bookmaker's site. UKGC-licensed operators only. begambleaware.org