A Look at the ATP Finals
The biggest and best names in men’s tennis descend on the London for the season-ending 2019 ATP Finals. This competition will be known as the 2019 Nitto ATP Finals for sponsorship reasons and will be held at the O2 Arena in London’s Docklands between 10 and 17 November.
It is a fixture marked in the diary of tennis lovers and sports bettors from the beginning of the year. Many backers aim to get in and secure a betting price about their predictions by staking their cash early. This will be the 50th edition of the singles tournament and the 45th instalment of the doubles tournament that continues to grow in popularity.
Best in the Business on Show
There’s an incredible 9,000,000USD in prize money at this event which is played on the indoor hardcourt surface of the North Greenwich venue that was formerly known as the Millennium Dome when first unveiled. Invitations were sent out and the final line-up, as ever, consists of the highest-ranking singles and doubles players from the 2019 ATP Tour. Only the best in the business get the chance to play for such a hefty prize pot but they will be expected to put on a show and earn their cash in front of a sell-out audience.
The stands will be packed from the first ball of the opening match to the last point of the final. Those who missed out on a ticket or can’t make it along to the venue don’t need to miss out. Armchair fans are catered for thanks to Sky Sports and there will also be coverage on a number of live streaming services, including those offered by major bookmakers.
As well as being able to watch the matches you can also place a bet on the tennis at your online bookmaker of choice. Many major firms have gone up early with their odds and markets, allowing punters to back their thoughts and opinions with hard cash. You can call the winner of the ATP Finals in London or play one of the many specials. Pick the singles champion, doubles champions, winner of the Andre Agassi Group, Bjorn Borg Group, Jonas Bjorkman Group and the Max Mirnyi Group. Back as a single or throw a few together to create a nice priced accumulator.
Bet Pre-Match or In-Play
You can also bet on the individual matches. Who will come out on top and win the match? Look beyond the match-winner and search for a bigger price by gambling on the handicap, set betting, total games, total sets, sets handicap, set one winner, not to win a set, set one score, set one tiebreak yes or no, set two score, set two winner, games odd/even, score after six games and plenty more besides. There’s something for every type of punter, including those looking for a match long bet or a quick interest.
Backers will also be excited to learn you can punt after the match has started thanks to in-play betting. Many of the original markets remain in-play throughout the course of the contest and you can dive in at your leisure. Odds and handicap lines are updated throughout the course of the match to reflect the score and the flow of play. This means you can watch a game or two to get a good feel for how both players are performing before placing your bets. This works extremely well with live tennis. The more attention you pay to the coverage the more chance there is of you noticing a value play worth having and grabbing it before the traders suspend the market or cut the odds.
The first match of the competition takes place on Sunday 10 November and we open in style as Novak Djokovic takes on Matteo Berrettini from 2.00pm GMT. Djok is expected to come through that match unscathed and will appear on a fair share of betting slips. The second match of the day sees Roger Federer and Dominic Thiem renew rivalries. That one is scheduled for a 20:00 start time. We’re back on Monday with another two matches.
Outright Singles Betting
The current outright betting for the ATP Tour Finals before a ball has been served reads as follows…
- Novak Djokovic win at 11/10 with Ladbrokes
- Roger Federer win at 4/1 with bet365
- Daniil Medvedev win at 4/1 with Betfair
- Rafael Nadal win at 11/2 with Ladbrokes
- Stefanos Tsitsipas win at 14/1 with Betfair
- Alexander Zverev win at 14/1 with Betfair
- Dominic Thiem win at 14/1 with bet365
- Matteo Berrettini win at 25/1 with bet365
The groups are a round-robin format where every player plays the others in their group once. All singles matches are the best of three sets with tie-breakers there if needed to decide on a winner. The players with the most points then progress to the next round.
The line-up for the groups looks like this…
Andre Agassi Group
- Daniil Medvedev
- Rafael Nadal
- Alexander Zverev
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
Bjorn Borg Group
- Novak Djokovic
- Roger Federer
- Dominic Thiem
- Matteo Berrettini
Federer Looks Value to Win the Group
The second pool has been described as the group of death by some and its little wonder with such a strong four included. The standout of the list is five-time winner Novak Djokovic and six-time winner Roger Federer and it is expected both men will battle hard for the top spot, leaving the other two to decide third and fourth. Who will come out on top? That’s a question that has kept punters guessing but bookmakers have had their say and offer backers the chance to back their opinions and pick sides. The current betting to win the group has Novak Djokovic as a 4/7 favourite with Betfair, ahead of Roger Federer who can be backed at 11/4 – market best price when getting your stake money down at bet365.
That’s generous when you consider most other firms are stuck around the 9/4 mark. Fed-Ex is sure to attract the attention of value hunters who will know only too well there’s profit to be made in backing a 9/4 shot at 11/4. If you support Roger in that bet, you can rest assured you have the value working on your side. If he starts as expected it is also predicted his price to win the group will shorten and players will have the option of being able to cash out for a profit. It looks a bet well worth having and could be described as a tactical bet, but it is obvious Novak Djokovic is odds-on favourite for a reason.
Djokovic a Worthy Favourite in His Pool
He is a supremely talented player and deserves his place at the head of the market. Djok winning the pool and the trophy outright would come as no surprise to anyone with even the slightest interest in the ATP Tour or even sports betting. Novak is sure to be popular in accumulators and multiples. Betfair have him as a 4/7 jolly and that’s plenty tight but it’s marginally better than the 8/15 you’ll get at rival firms.
A worthy favourite but, having said that, we’d much prefer to take a chance on Federer upsetting the odds, simply because he has been overpriced. You’ll get a run for your money when backing the great man and that is the very least expected. He has every chance of topping the group and rewarding our faith with a decent prize. The other two players in the running have been overlooked but we don’t believe that to be too harsh. Dominic Thiem is market best price when playing at Betfair for third favourite and he is one ahead of rank outsider Matteo Berrettini who is expected simply to make up the numbers. There’s a chunky 12/1 at bet365 on him upsetting the odds.
That’s a nice price, of course, but there are big odds attached to Matteo for good reason and it’s highly unlikely he’ll get anywhere near topping the group. He’s a talented player and will see this is a great chance to boost his experience and showcase his talents in front of the watching world. If he can remain competitive in each of his matches and make his opponents work, he will bow out proud of his efforts and encouraged for next season.
Nadal Looks the Man to Follow
Value in the other group looks to come in the form of world number one Rafael Nadal. The Spaniard is included in the second pool with some very capable players, but it will be extremely difficult to ignore the 15/8 chalked up by Ladbrokes. That’s sure to be extremely popular this week and rightly so. The reason traders have written off the chances of Nadal is he travels with injury and was forced to pull out of the Paris Masters last week. That doesn’t do a lot to inspire confidence amongst backers, but we see it differently.
Nadal’s attendance proves he fancies having a go at it and although winning the title outright may be a step too far in his current condition, he knows the challenges this tournament brings extremely well and will be all too confident in his ability to compete. Rafa enjoyed a break last week and we really don’t think he would have rushed back if he was still carrying an injury. It’s also the last major fixture of the year so he can afford to take a bit of a risk and push himself through the pain barrier knowing he has a break to look forward to. Nadal is approaching the end of his career and he won’t be in London for the ATP Tour finals too many more times, so will want to make it count while he can and put on a show for his many fans in this part of the world.
Medvedev the Bookies Pick in a Competitive Group
Rafa Nadal comes in as second favourite behind Daniil Medvedev who is the bookies pick and can be supported at 7/4 with bet365. That’s market best price and is slightly more generous than the 13/8 you’ll get at most of the competition.
This promises to be a competitive group but if Nadal plays his best tennis and is over the worst of his injury there’s no doubt he will top this group at a canter. Alexander Zverev is 9/2 third favourite, best price at Betfair, and you’ll get a chunky 9/2 with Ladbrokes if taking a chance on Stefanos Tsitsipas making a name for himself on the big stage.