2019 US Open Betting Preview
The 2019 US Open takes place at Flushing Meadows in New York City this summer with play taking place between 26 August and 8 September. This will be the 139th renewal of the world-famous tournament and the line-up tells us to expect one of the most competitive outings in recent years.
The sport of tennis is on the cusp of an exciting new era as the old favourites begin to make way for emerging talent. Tennis, in recent times, has been dominated by the likes of Andy Murray, Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal, but these men, although still firing off major title wins, are each approaching the end of their careers. The youth and talent waiting in the wings know it’s only a matter of time before the stars move aside and leave a gap in the market. The pressure will then be thrust on the champions of tomorrow to seize their opportunity.
Novak Djokovic arrives at the venue as defending champion and he is the pick of many shrewd pundits to successfully defend his title again this summer. Naomi Osaka won the women’s US Open 12 months ago, but she isn’t fancied by major bookmakers offering odds on the tournament to repeat the feat this time. Will she upset the expectations of traders? We’ll find out over the course of the next few weeks. The qualifying rounds have already taken place meaning when the Sky Sports cameras arrive on the final week of August, we’re ready for business. You can follow every match live on Sky Sports and bet on both the outright winners of the US Open, as well as the individual singles and doubles matches with UK bookmakers.
US Open Men’s Stats and Trends
The US Open concept was founded in 1881 and we’ve enjoyed some memorable renewals over the years, with the sport’s biggest names and best players laying claim to the trophy. Much has changed from the original version of the US Open, not least of all the surface. It started on grass between 1881 and 1974, switched to clay between 1975 and 1977 before going to hardcourt from 1978 onwards. Will organisers remain on their current surface? It’s likely but nothing can be taken for granted with this tournament.
The record books show William Larned is the most successful player to compete in the US Open, having won the prize a record seven times. That success was achieved between 1901 and 1911. The American is joined by Richard Sears on seven, between 1881 and 1887. Bill Tilden is also on seven, scored between 1920 and 1929. Jimmy Connors has five gold medals, the same number as fellow countryman Pete Sampras and Swiss star Roger Federer. John McEnroe won the title four times, scoring in 1979, 1980, 1981 and 1984. Each of the top five players in that list are American and a home player makes up eight of the top nine. Only two players from the 10 most successful US Open men’s stars are from outside America – Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic. That’s worth keeping in mind when approaching the betting for this year’s renewal.
We take a closer look at the main players in the frame for the 2019 US Open and the early betting is headed by Novak Djokovic. The 32-year-old Serb has a multitude of Grand Slam titles but has won the US Open three times. He claimed his first 2011 but had to wait until 2015 to double up. He completed the hattrick last year and is betting favourite to claim number four.
2019 has already been a strong year for Djokovic and he arrives at Flushing Meadows having won the Australian Open earlier this year before winning his fifth Wimbledon trophy in the summer. Confidence is high in the camp as Novak appears to be making the most of the injury crisis that threatens rival Andy Murray’s success. Djokovic has won the French Open only once and that was back in 2016, but he has enjoyed plenty of success in the other Grand Slams on the calendar.
33-year-old Spaniard Rafael Nadal is enjoying a return to form following a period spent on the sidelines with injury. He has completely turned around his fortunes and after looking like his time at the top was over, the fans’ favourite raged back and has been adding Grand Slam titles to his already impressive haul in recent times.
Nadal has enjoyed most of his success at the French Open where he has claimed no less than a dozen titles between 2005 and 2019. He has won the Australian Open once, in 2009, and Wimbledon twice, 2008 and 2010. Rafael Nadal has won the US Open gong three times already and is confident in his ability to get a fourth. His first Flushing Meadows win was in 2010, followed by 2013 and 2017. He won’t have too many more cracks at it after this year, one would assume.
38-year-old Swiss sensation Roger Federer has won every available Grand Slam title at least once during an illustrious career. Mr consistency himself has bagged the Australian Open six times, first in 2004 and as recent as 2018, the French Open in 2009, Wimbledon eight times between 2003 and 2017. He has also had his fair share of luck when playing in New York, winning the US Open in 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008. Impressive, but it rates as a major shock that he hasn’t won the latter in over a decade and that’s something he’ll be desperate to remedy before the end of his career.
Many of the leading bookmakers are against Federer for that very fact but he has proven over the years it is never wise to put a line through his chances. He has impressed at the US Open in the past and scored some memorable wins but if he was to go on and claim this year’s prize, against all the odds and the expectations of many pundits, it would surely rank as a career highlight. Does he have one final big push left in him? We’ll find out soon enough.
US Open Men’s Outright Betting
You can back your player of choice in the outright market where you’ll find Novak Djokovic as a 6/5 favourite, top price when betting at Ladbrokes. Rafael Nadal is second in line at 4/1 with all major firms, including Betfair, and the top three is rounded off by Roger Federer who is generally available at 6/1. Daniil Medvedev is as big as 18/1 in the betting and there’s a chunky 33/1 if you expect Stefanos Tsitsipas to make history.
Looking to take an outsider but would prefer a bit more of a safety net when it comes to getting your stake money down? Each-way backers will get ½ the odds a place 1-2 with all major firms and that’s something you should give serious consideration too, especially if going against Novak Djokovic this summer. With this bet you need your player to reach the final, at least, to bank a return on your investment.
If they win the final, you’ll be paid out for both the win and each-way part of your bet. If they end as beaten finalists, you’ll only be paid the each-way part, which will be 1/2 the overall odds. For example, if you back Roger Federer each-way at 6/1 and he ends as runner up, you’ll be paid out at 3/1, plus your place stake back, but will lose the win half of your bet.
US Open Women’s Stats and Trends
The US Open women’s tournament runs alongside the men’s version at Flushing Meadows with the final often played 24 hours before the men’s decider. The prize money has increased in recent years to move it closer to the prize available to the opposite sex and the players have responded. We’ve enjoyed some of the best renewals of the US Open’s ladies game in recent years with many dramatic finals fought out over the distance.
Naomi Osaka was crowned queen of flushing meadows last year and will return intent on defending her title. Will she do it? She certainly has every chance and the betting traders haven’t been as quick to write her off this time as they were 12 months ago. She has shown her stomach for a fight, determination and skill. There’s no doubt Osaka will go on to become a major player in the women’s game and win many more Grand Slams in the years to come. She is a talented player but it’s plain to see there’s plenty still to come from this battler.
Arguably the greatest tennis player in the women’s game of recent years but it’ll be interesting to see how much she has left in the tank. The American will certainly enjoy the backing of the crowd during her campaign and followers have cheered her to success in this competition more than a few times before. Bookmakers believe there’s every chance she will come good again and have her priced as the most likely winner in the antepost betting.
Serena Williams has won the six times, getting off the mark in 1999. That was followed by wins in 2002, 2008, 2012, 2013 and 2014. That’s incredible but it’s worth remembering she hasn’t won is four years since and is due a return. She has won every Grand Slam title at least once, including seven at Wimbledon. There’s sure to be more than a few backers with their money down on Williams winning the 2019 title.
Another who enjoys the support of the bookmakers and you’ll find Simona Halep priced near the head of the betting with every major firm. That will come as no major surprise or shock to followers of women’s tennis or those with even a casual interest in sports betting. The 27-year-old Romanian will surely take all the beating in New York.
Halep has never won the US Open during her career, with a semi final appearance in 2015 being her best effort so far. That’ll put many shrewd backers off risking their cash on her and they couldn’t be blamed for that. Simona reached the final of the Australian Open in 2018 and won the French Open in 2018 and Wimbledon this year. She goes to NYC in fine form and took real confidence from her performance at London this summer.
Ashleigh Barty may not enjoy the fame and fortune of the two women mentioned above – both ranked higher in the US Open outright betting – but she is a contender who seems determined to close the gap and force her way into the number one slot. Barty is only 23 years old and has already shown enough promise to have pundits pick the Australian out as the long-term successor to the Williams sisters. That’s a burden to carry, but she does look good enough.
Queensland native Barty announced her arrival when winning the French Open earlier this year and that remains her sole Grand Slam success to date. She made it to the quarter-finals of the Australian Open at the turn of 2019 but has gone no further than the fourth round when competing in the Wimbledon and US Open tournaments. Her London showing was a bit of a letdown but she has time on her side to get it right and can still end the year on a high if she can make a dent in the US Open. Easier said than done, of course. Despite her obvious inexperience and the fact she still has improvement to come, bookmakers aren’t in a mad rush to oppose Ashleigh Barty and you’ll find her near the head of the betting, mixing it with some famous names. She’s sure to be popular with value hunters and casual players, that’s for sure. Look out for a fast start from the Aussie and if she doesn’t go all the way to the trophy, we’d be confident she can better the fourth round effort achieved 12 months ago at Flushing Meadows.
US Open Women’s Outright Betting
The outright betting for the US Open women’s competition makes for interesting reading and gives an insight into how the traders expect this summer’s episode to go. The market is wide open and that will catch the attention of value hunters who are always eager to take full advantage of any indecision that exists on the trading floors. Punters can bet on dozens of markets in every match from round one to the final or they can grant themselves a long-term interest by getting their cash down on the outright winner, either as a win or each-way.
Serena Williams is favourite with every major betting firm at the time of publishing and that’s the stance we expected from those who hold the purse strings. Backers keen to get their cash down on the American female star available at 5/1 with Unibet. It’s not often you get a price like 5/1 on Serena Williams and it’s even more unique to have a US Open favourite available at such big odds.
Those taking on the favourite will get 8/1 at Ladbrokes on Simona Halep and you get into double-figure odds on Ashleigh Barty who is a chunky 10/1 with William Hill. That’s bigger than we expected to find and we’re sure it won’t go unnoticed. Naomi Osaka is 11/1 – best price at Betfair – to win two titles on the bounce and that quote places her one position ahead of Karolina Pliskova at 14/1, another value price that can be backed at William Hill. That one may be better for each-way backers who believe in Pliskova’s talent but are wary of her ability to go all the way.
Those who like to keep the world rankings in mind when making their outright bets before the competition gets started will find the below list useful…
Men’s top 20 rankings
- Novak Djokovic (Ser)
- Rafael Nadal (Spa)
- Roger Federer (Swi)
- Dominic Thiem (Aut)
- Daniil Medvedev (Rus)
- Alexander Zverev (Ger)
- Kei Nishikori (Jpn)
- Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gre)
- Karen Khachanov (Rus)
- Roberto Bautista Agut (Spa)
- Fabio Fognini (Ita)
- Borna Coric (Cro)
- Gael Monfils (Fra)
- John Isner (US)
- David Goffin (Bel)
- Juan Martin del Potro (Arg)
- Kevin Anderson (SA)
- Nikoloz Basilashvili (Geo)
- Felix Auger-Aliassime (Can)
- Guido Pella (Arg)
Women’s top 20 rankings
- Naomi Osaka (Jpn)
- Ashleigh Barty (Aus)
- Karolina Pliskova (Cze)
- Simona Halep (Rom)
- Elina Svitolina (Ukr)
- Petra Kvitova (Cze)
- Kiki Bertens (Ned)
- Serena Williams (US)
- Aryna Sabalenka (Blr)
- Madison Keys (US)
- Sloane Stephens (US)
- Anastasija Sevastova (Lat)
- Belinda Bencic (Swi)
- Angelique Kerber (Ger)
- Bianca Andreescu (Can)
- Johanna Konta (GB)
- Marketa Vondrousova (Cze)
- Wang Qiang (Chn)
- Caroline Wozniacki (Den)
- Sofia Kenin (US)